{
 "built": "2026-10-21",
 "inputsBuilt": "2026-10-21",
 "draws": 2000,
 "seed": 42,
 "method": {
  "padding": "For each crisis in turn, raise its appeal requirements (the ask) or its people in need by 20%, rerun the rule, and compare its grant. Everything else unchanged.",
  "monteCarlo": "Each draw picks a severity weighting between 0 and 2, a cutoff of 3, 4 or 5 (4 twice as often), focus on or off, and multiplies each country's people in need by a random factor whose spread follows ACAPS's reliability rating for that country (5% for very high, up to 40% for very low)."
 },
 "padding": {
  "small": {
   "label": "$1 trillion, 30% opted in (no appeal fills up)",
   "ask": [
    {
     "iso3": "PSE",
     "country": "Palestine",
     "before": 3104525,
     "after": 3104525,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "SYR",
     "country": "Syria",
     "before": 13376900,
     "after": 13376900,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "YEM",
     "country": "Yemen",
     "before": 19146856,
     "after": 19146856,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "SDN",
     "country": "Sudan",
     "before": 28902096,
     "after": 28902096,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "AFG",
     "country": "Afghanistan",
     "before": 18772083,
     "after": 18772083,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "COD",
     "country": "Democratic Republic of the Congo",
     "before": 15856231,
     "after": 15856231,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "SSD",
     "country": "South Sudan",
     "before": 8514288,
     "after": 8514288,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "UKR",
     "country": "Ukraine",
     "before": 9347878,
     "after": 9347878,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "SOM",
     "country": "Somalia",
     "before": 4370348,
     "after": 4370348,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "TCD",
     "country": "Chad",
     "before": 4146513,
     "after": 4146513,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "NER",
     "country": "Niger",
     "before": 1321138,
     "after": 1321138,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "COL",
     "country": "Colombia",
     "before": 8978251,
     "after": 8978251,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "BFA",
     "country": "Burkina Faso",
     "before": 3801756,
     "after": 3801756,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "VEN",
     "country": "Venezuela",
     "before": 7378821,
     "after": 7378821,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "HTI",
     "country": "Haiti",
     "before": 5500669,
     "after": 5500669,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "MMR",
     "country": "Myanmar",
     "before": 13918047,
     "after": 13918047,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "MLI",
     "country": "Mali",
     "before": 4577030,
     "after": 4577030,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "BGD",
     "country": "Bangladesh",
     "before": 7011766,
     "after": 7011766,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "LBN",
     "country": "Lebanon",
     "before": 3225447,
     "after": 3225447,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "CMR",
     "country": "Cameroon",
     "before": 2467325,
     "after": 2467325,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "NGA",
     "country": "Nigeria",
     "before": 19266063,
     "after": 19266063,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "CAF",
     "country": "Central African Republic",
     "before": 949367,
     "after": 949367,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "ECU",
     "country": "Ecuador",
     "before": 1316421,
     "after": 1316421,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "CUB",
     "country": "Cuba",
     "before": 1800967,
     "after": 1800967,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "HND",
     "country": "Honduras",
     "before": 806576,
     "after": 806576,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "IRN",
     "country": "Iran",
     "before": 8576035,
     "after": 8576035,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "PAK",
     "country": "Pakistan",
     "before": 8566601,
     "after": 8566601,
     "change": 0
    }
   ],
   "need": [
    {
     "iso3": "PSE",
     "country": "Palestine",
     "before": 3104525,
     "after": 3715177,
     "change": 0.197
    },
    {
     "iso3": "SYR",
     "country": "Syria",
     "before": 13376900,
     "after": 15863652,
     "change": 0.186
    },
    {
     "iso3": "YEM",
     "country": "Yemen",
     "before": 19146856,
     "after": 22591729,
     "change": 0.18
    },
    {
     "iso3": "SDN",
     "country": "Sudan",
     "before": 28902096,
     "after": 33813813,
     "change": 0.17
    },
    {
     "iso3": "AFG",
     "country": "Afghanistan",
     "before": 18772083,
     "after": 22156785,
     "change": 0.18
    },
    {
     "iso3": "COD",
     "country": "Democratic Republic of the Congo",
     "before": 15856231,
     "after": 18763024,
     "change": 0.183
    },
    {
     "iso3": "SSD",
     "country": "South Sudan",
     "before": 8514288,
     "after": 10140400,
     "change": 0.191
    },
    {
     "iso3": "UKR",
     "country": "Ukraine",
     "before": 9347878,
     "after": 11125014,
     "change": 0.19
    },
    {
     "iso3": "SOM",
     "country": "Somalia",
     "before": 4370348,
     "after": 5224123,
     "change": 0.195
    },
    {
     "iso3": "TCD",
     "country": "Chad",
     "before": 4146513,
     "after": 4957543,
     "change": 0.196
    },
    {
     "iso3": "NER",
     "country": "Niger",
     "before": 1321138,
     "after": 1583506,
     "change": 0.199
    },
    {
     "iso3": "COL",
     "country": "Colombia",
     "before": 8978251,
     "after": 10688599,
     "change": 0.19
    },
    {
     "iso3": "BFA",
     "country": "Burkina Faso",
     "before": 3801756,
     "after": 4546743,
     "change": 0.196
    },
    {
     "iso3": "VEN",
     "country": "Venezuela",
     "before": 7378821,
     "after": 8796886,
     "change": 0.192
    },
    {
     "iso3": "HTI",
     "country": "Haiti",
     "before": 5500669,
     "after": 6568685,
     "change": 0.194
    },
    {
     "iso3": "MMR",
     "country": "Myanmar",
     "before": 13918047,
     "after": 16497556,
     "change": 0.185
    },
    {
     "iso3": "MLI",
     "country": "Mali",
     "before": 4577030,
     "after": 5470181,
     "change": 0.195
    },
    {
     "iso3": "BGD",
     "country": "Bangladesh",
     "before": 7011766,
     "after": 8362002,
     "change": 0.193
    },
    {
     "iso3": "LBN",
     "country": "Lebanon",
     "before": 3225447,
     "after": 3859471,
     "change": 0.197
    },
    {
     "iso3": "CMR",
     "country": "Cameroon",
     "before": 2467325,
     "after": 2954311,
     "change": 0.197
    },
    {
     "iso3": "NGA",
     "country": "Nigeria",
     "before": 19266063,
     "after": 22730015,
     "change": 0.18
    },
    {
     "iso3": "CAF",
     "country": "Central African Republic",
     "before": 949367,
     "after": 1138280,
     "change": 0.199
    },
    {
     "iso3": "ECU",
     "country": "Ecuador",
     "before": 1316421,
     "after": 1577859,
     "change": 0.199
    },
    {
     "iso3": "CUB",
     "country": "Cuba",
     "before": 1800967,
     "after": 2157707,
     "change": 0.198
    },
    {
     "iso3": "HND",
     "country": "Honduras",
     "before": 806576,
     "after": 967198,
     "change": 0.199
    },
    {
     "iso3": "IRN",
     "country": "Iran",
     "before": 8576035,
     "after": 10213384,
     "change": 0.191
    },
    {
     "iso3": "PAK",
     "country": "Pakistan",
     "before": 8566601,
     "after": 10202234,
     "change": 0.191
    }
   ],
   "summary": {
    "ask": {
     "median": 0,
     "max": 0,
     "newlyFunded": []
    },
    "need": {
     "median": 0.193,
     "max": 0.199,
     "newlyFunded": []
    }
   }
  },
  "large": {
   "label": "$100 trillion, 100% opted in (most appeals fill up)",
   "ask": [
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     "country": "Palestine",
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     "after": 3248297970,
     "change": 0.334
    },
    {
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     "country": "Syria",
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     "change": 0.296
    },
    {
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     "country": "Yemen",
     "before": 1662717215,
     "after": 2095229882,
     "change": 0.26
    },
    {
     "iso3": "SDN",
     "country": "Sudan",
     "before": 1622363283,
     "after": 2195609002,
     "change": 0.353
    },
    {
     "iso3": "AFG",
     "country": "Afghanistan",
     "before": 1152446397,
     "after": 1495282696,
     "change": 0.297
    },
    {
     "iso3": "COD",
     "country": "Democratic Republic of the Congo",
     "before": 991813114,
     "after": 1418341345,
     "change": 0.43
    },
    {
     "iso3": "SSD",
     "country": "South Sudan",
     "before": 905105843,
     "after": 1197715054,
     "change": 0.323
    },
    {
     "iso3": "UKR",
     "country": "Ukraine",
     "before": 636523420,
     "after": 1097315815,
     "change": 0.724
    },
    {
     "iso3": "SOM",
     "country": "Somalia",
     "before": 580633172,
     "after": 751033172,
     "change": 0.293
    },
    {
     "iso3": "TCD",
     "country": "Chad",
     "before": 551053389,
     "after": 748267314,
     "change": 0.358
    },
    {
     "iso3": "NER",
     "country": "Niger",
     "before": 551048337,
     "after": 686172255,
     "change": 0.245
    },
    {
     "iso3": "COL",
     "country": "Colombia",
     "before": 528772645,
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     "change": 0.323
    },
    {
     "iso3": "BFA",
     "country": "Burkina Faso",
     "before": 511560805,
     "after": 643258077,
     "change": 0.257
    },
    {
     "iso3": "VEN",
     "country": "Venezuela",
     "before": 489121051,
     "after": 675381875,
     "change": 0.381
    },
    {
     "iso3": "HTI",
     "country": "Haiti",
     "before": 445989784,
     "after": 622055269,
     "change": 0.395
    },
    {
     "iso3": "MMR",
     "country": "Myanmar",
     "before": 443947934,
     "after": 621868094,
     "change": 0.401
    },
    {
     "iso3": "MLI",
     "country": "Mali",
     "before": 434389518,
     "after": 549962800,
     "change": 0.266
    },
    {
     "iso3": "BGD",
     "country": "Bangladesh",
     "before": 313975921,
     "after": 456077594,
     "change": 0.453
    },
    {
     "iso3": "LBN",
     "country": "Lebanon",
     "before": 309005468,
     "after": 436980646,
     "change": 0.414
    },
    {
     "iso3": "CMR",
     "country": "Cameroon",
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     "change": 0.293
    },
    {
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     "country": "Nigeria",
     "before": 152890738,
     "after": 256170623,
     "change": 0.676
    },
    {
     "iso3": "CAF",
     "country": "Central African Republic",
     "before": 115821205,
     "after": 168640683,
     "change": 0.456
    },
    {
     "iso3": "ECU",
     "country": "Ecuador",
     "before": 93953547,
     "after": 122201501,
     "change": 0.301
    },
    {
     "iso3": "CUB",
     "country": "Cuba",
     "before": 42659307,
     "after": 59010377,
     "change": 0.383
    },
    {
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     "country": "Honduras",
     "before": 41272678,
     "after": 49668257,
     "change": 0.203
    },
    {
     "iso3": "IRN",
     "country": "Iran",
     "before": 37791405,
     "after": 53791405,
     "change": 0.423
    },
    {
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     "country": "Pakistan",
     "before": 37713172,
     "after": 50701954,
     "change": 0.344
    }
   ],
   "need": [
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     "iso3": "PSE",
     "country": "Palestine",
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     "change": 0
    },
    {
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     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "YEM",
     "country": "Yemen",
     "before": 1662717215,
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     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "SDN",
     "country": "Sudan",
     "before": 1622363283,
     "after": 1622363283,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "AFG",
     "country": "Afghanistan",
     "before": 1152446397,
     "after": 1152446397,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "COD",
     "country": "Democratic Republic of the Congo",
     "before": 991813114,
     "after": 991813114,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "SSD",
     "country": "South Sudan",
     "before": 905105843,
     "after": 905105843,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "UKR",
     "country": "Ukraine",
     "before": 636523420,
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     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "SOM",
     "country": "Somalia",
     "before": 580633172,
     "after": 580633172,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
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     "change": 0
    },
    {
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     "country": "Niger",
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     "change": 0
    },
    {
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     "country": "Colombia",
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     "change": 0
    },
    {
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     "country": "Burkina Faso",
     "before": 511560805,
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     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "VEN",
     "country": "Venezuela",
     "before": 489121051,
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     "change": 0
    },
    {
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     "country": "Haiti",
     "before": 445989784,
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     "change": 0
    },
    {
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     "country": "Myanmar",
     "before": 443947934,
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     "change": 0
    },
    {
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     "country": "Mali",
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     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "BGD",
     "country": "Bangladesh",
     "before": 313975921,
     "after": 313975921,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "LBN",
     "country": "Lebanon",
     "before": 309005468,
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     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "CMR",
     "country": "Cameroon",
     "before": 217899448,
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     "change": 0
    },
    {
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     "country": "Nigeria",
     "before": 152890738,
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     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "CAF",
     "country": "Central African Republic",
     "before": 115821205,
     "after": 115821205,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "ECU",
     "country": "Ecuador",
     "before": 93953547,
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     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "CUB",
     "country": "Cuba",
     "before": 42659307,
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     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "HND",
     "country": "Honduras",
     "before": 41272678,
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     "change": 0
    },
    {
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     "country": "Iran",
     "before": 37791405,
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     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "PAK",
     "country": "Pakistan",
     "before": 37713172,
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     "change": 0
    }
   ],
   "summary": {
    "ask": {
     "median": 0.344,
     "max": 0.724,
     "newlyFunded": []
    },
    "need": {
     "median": 0,
     "max": 0,
     "newlyFunded": []
    }
   }
  },
  "focus": {
   "label": "$1 trillion, 30% opted in, focus on the 15 most neglected",
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     "change": 0
    },
    {
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     "country": "Syria",
     "before": 21255057,
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    },
    {
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    },
    {
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     "country": "Sudan",
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     "change": 0
    },
    {
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     "change": 0
    },
    {
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     "country": "Democratic Republic of the Congo",
     "before": 0,
     "after": 23477631,
     "change": null
    },
    {
     "iso3": "SSD",
     "country": "South Sudan",
     "before": 13528671,
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     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "SOM",
     "country": "Somalia",
     "before": 6944209,
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     "change": 0
    },
    {
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     "change": 0
    },
    {
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     "change": 0
    },
    {
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     "country": "Burkina Faso",
     "before": 6040753,
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     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "VEN",
     "country": "Venezuela",
     "before": 11724485,
     "after": 11724485,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "HTI",
     "country": "Haiti",
     "before": 8740219,
     "after": 8740219,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
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     "country": "Myanmar",
     "before": 0,
     "after": 20874087,
     "change": null
    },
    {
     "iso3": "MLI",
     "country": "Mali",
     "before": 7272614,
     "after": 7272614,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "LBN",
     "country": "Lebanon",
     "before": 0,
     "after": 5208724,
     "change": null
    },
    {
     "iso3": "CMR",
     "country": "Cameroon",
     "before": 3920426,
     "after": 3920426,
     "change": 0
    },
    {
     "iso3": "IRN",
     "country": "Iran",
     "before": 0,
     "after": 13337127,
     "change": null
    },
    {
     "iso3": "PAK",
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     "before": 13611794,
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     "change": 0
    }
   ],
   "need": [
    {
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     "country": "Palestine",
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     "after": 5893632,
     "change": 0.195
    },
    {
     "iso3": "SYR",
     "country": "Syria",
     "before": 21255057,
     "after": 25033108,
     "change": 0.178
    },
    {
     "iso3": "YEM",
     "country": "Yemen",
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     "change": 0.168
    },
    {
     "iso3": "SDN",
     "country": "Sudan",
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     "change": 0.153
    },
    {
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     "country": "Afghanistan",
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     "change": 0.169
    },
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     "after": 16041498,
     "change": 0.186
    },
    {
     "iso3": "SOM",
     "country": "Somalia",
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     "change": 0.193
    },
    {
     "iso3": "TCD",
     "country": "Chad",
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     "after": 7860227,
     "change": 0.193
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    {
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    {
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    {
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 ]
}